Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.092974 1.300349 1.517378 1.759926 2.021994 2.295314 2.600648
2025-02-02 0.860365 1.160860 1.494756 1.886711 2.328328 2.805398 3.354900
2025-02-09 0.747004 1.100305 1.508843 2.003178 2.573835 3.202363 3.938089
2025-02-16 0.638146 1.027044 1.494526 2.076142 2.762025 3.529978 4.440951
2025-02-23 0.531552 0.938720 1.447681 2.097921 2.879848 3.768202 4.834228
2025-03-02 0.405636 0.807097 1.333626 2.027248 2.879587 3.863246 5.058039
2025-03-09 0.298564 0.683899 1.217182 1.942532 2.853303 3.920455 5.231587
2025-03-16 0.225729 0.597764 1.140211 1.899679 2.871291 4.024350 5.454469
2025-03-23 0.187431 0.559433 1.124386 1.932372 2.979873 4.234056 5.799660
2025-03-30 0.147798 0.510968 1.089269 1.935919 3.049204 4.394559 6.085194
2025-04-06 0.107710 0.451864 1.032716 1.906298 3.073229 4.497715 6.300633
2025-04-13 0.095024 0.444851 1.053859 1.982304 3.232149 4.765305 6.712400
2025-04-20 0.085159 0.444571 1.088967 2.083661 3.432050 5.093293 7.209453
2025-04-27 0.078884 0.451713 1.136383 2.203671 3.658323 5.456500 7.752413
2025-05-04 0.075585 0.465052 1.193264 2.336621 3.901078 5.839661 8.318964
2025-05-11 0.064431 0.455462 1.211372 2.413657 4.070238 6.131712 8.775879
2025-05-18 0.048248 0.426219 1.194078 2.438018 4.168695 6.335013 9.124754
2025-05-25 0.025516 0.361765 1.110168 2.361083 4.129498 6.364125 9.260263
2025-06-01 0.009689 0.298486 1.019894 2.269109 4.066009 6.359575 9.352027
2025-06-08 0.002775 0.256201 0.962420 2.222460 4.060625 6.425686 9.527645
2025-06-15 0.000931 0.242060 0.958648 2.258041 4.167693 6.634930 9.879635
2025-06-22 0.000012 0.219793 0.935625 2.261896 4.229904 6.786120 10.159439
2025-06-29 NaN 0.189579 0.891459 2.229671 4.240225 6.869469 10.354269